Poll finds Vancouver mayoral race wide open, with Sim stronger among homeowners

A new survey suggests Vancouver’s mayoral race remains unsettled, with no statistically clear leader and more than one-third of respondents undecided.

Pallas Data surveyed 312 Vancouver adults eligible to vote between July 20 and 24. Green Party of Vancouver candidate Pete Fry had 18.1 per cent support, followed by incumbent ABC Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim at 13.8 per cent and Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam at 11.5 per cent. TEAM for a Livable Vancouver’s Colleen Hardwick had 10.5 per cent, COPE’s Stephanie Allen six per cent, OneCity’s William Azaroff 3.5 per cent and Vote Vancouver’s Rebecca Bligh 2.9 per cent.

The poll’s overall margin of error is plus or minus 5.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Fry’s 4.3-point lead over Sim is therefore within the margin of error. The Toronto-based firm conducted the survey for the Conservative Electors Association, also known as Vancouver Conservatives; that organization and the Vancouver Liberals are not affiliated with provincial or federal parties sharing those names.

Support varied by housing status. Sim led Fry among homeowners, 18.3 per cent to 16.8 per cent, while Fry led among renters, 19 per cent to 6.9 per cent. Renters were also more likely to be undecided, at 40 per cent compared with 30.8 per cent of homeowners.

The survey found 28.4 per cent of respondents approved of Sim’s performance as mayor, while 47.4 per cent disapproved. In council voting intentions, the Vancouver Greens had 12.7 per cent support, followed by the Liberals at 12.1 per cent, COPE at 10.5 per cent and ABC at 9.9 per cent; 38.5 per cent were undecided.

Vancouver’s civic election is scheduled for Oct. 17, 2026. The nomination period runs Sept. 4 to 11, and candidates who have filed can formally withdraw by Sept. 18.